World Cup Top Scorer odds look wide open on first inspection, but by looking at past World Cup Golden Boot odds and trends we can narrow down the field.
Below are all the world cup golden boot winners, along with their top scorer odds where we have been able to find them.
The World Cup top scorer odds listed were those available at the start of the tournament.
|2010||South Africa||Spain||Muller/Villa/Forlan/Sneijder||8/1 - 150/1||Ger/Spa/Uru/Hol|
|1994||USA||Brazil||Hristo Stoichkov/Oleg Salenko||33/1 / 100/1||Bulgaria/Russia|
|1990||Italy||West Germany||Salvatore Schillachi||-||Italy|
|1974||West Germany||West Germany||Gregorz Lato||-||Poland|
|1970||Mexico||Brazil||Gerd Muller||-||West Germany|
|1962||Chile||Brazil||Six Way Tie||-||Six Way Tie|
|1954||Switzerland||West Germany||Sandor Korcses||-||Hungary|
|1938||France||Italy||Leonidas de Silva||-||Brazil|
What to look out for when placing your top scorer bets.
The winner of the World Cup Top Scorer is likely to play more than just the group games. More games mean more opportunities to score so backing a player that plays for a side that should reach the semi finals at least is a good idea. So check out teams latest world cup odds before choosing your striker for the golden boot bet.
In seven of the sixteen World Cups where there has been a clear Golden Boot winner, the Golden Boot winners nation has played in the final.
The team tactics are also important to consider. A defensive side is not likely to score too many goals which is going to make it hard for that side to provide the Top Scorer, however good their main striker is.
Brazil are often the most attack minded team which is why they score plenty of goals and have provided the World Cup Golden Boot a record three times.
Always have a look at the group fixtures. There are often some very weak teams in the World Cup Group Stage and a game against the tournament whipping boys is an opportunity for a potential World Cup Golden Boot to grab two or three goals.
That could be half the goals they will need to become Golden Boot, from just one game. If you are after a really big payout, some bookies offer a double where you have to name the world cup winner and the top goalscorer. This maybe easier than it sounds as often the golden boot winner plays for the winning world cup team. Check out current world cup odds to help you pick your team and striker.
The following countries are most likely to score plenty of goals due to playing against the weaker World Cup teams in their group or by making it to the semi finals at least.
So let's examine the merits of each team and their most likely goalscorers:
Brazil have always been one of the most attacking teams at the World Cup and have produced the World Cup Golden Boot more than any other nation. They are likely to perform extremely well at the 2014 World Cup as they will be on home soil and since they are likely to play more games than most other teams, they should get more chances to score than most other teams. Neymar performed brilliantly at the 2013 Confederations Cup in Brazil (a tournament Brazil won) and he looks a leading contender.
Argentina have Lionel Messi, generally considered to be the best player on the planet. He has a good scoring record for his country but it doesn't match his amazing club scoring record where he averages more than a goal a game. He should still be Argentina's danger man but don't underestimate Gonzalo Higuain either. The Napoli striker was strong in qualifying and often provides as much goalscoring threat as Messi for Argentina. Given the difference in odds between the pair it could be that Higuain offers the slightly better value.