

South Africa have a natural advantage in this match as the hosts. We have seen at past major football tournaments what a difference this can make.
Mexico are the better side but often fail to make the most of the chances they create.
With such tough oposition awaiting them in their second and third games, will both teams go all out for the win or try to safely secure a point?
The most popular market in football betting. Simply predict the result when the full time whistle blows!
Mexico are the better side but playing the hosts in the first match is a tough start and enough to balance the teams. The bookies have the draw as the least likely result but that looks the value bet to us.
This is where one team is normally given a lead to balance the match. In this match though they cant split the teams, so both are quoted as +0. This means that you get your money back if the game is a draw. Click here for an explanation of asian handicap betting.
The fact that South Africa are outsiders in ths match despite having the massive advantage of playing at home means they are probably more likely to get the win that Mexico are. Therefore South Africa rate a pretty good bet in the Asian Handicap given there is little risk with a loss unlikely for the hosts.
Here we look at the over/under goal markets and the correct score markets. Take a look at the goals stats first.
| Date | Team | Scores | Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/10 | South Africa | 2 - 0 | Jamaica |
| 16/05/10 | South Africa | 4 - 0 | Thailand |
| 24/05/10 | South Africa | 1 - 1 | Bulgaria |
| 27/05/10 | South Africa | 2 - 1 | Colombia |
| 31/05/10 | South Africa | 5 - 0 | Guatemala |
| 05/06/10 | South Africa | 1 - 0 | Denmark |
*Please note as hosts South Africa qualified automatically so they have no recent competitive games
| Date | Team | Scores | Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/09 | Mexico | 2 - 1 (1:1) | Trinidad and Tobago |
| 12/08/09 | Mexico | 2 - 1 (1:1) | USA |
| 06/09/09 | Costa Rica | 0 - 3 (0:1) | Mexico |
| 10/09/09 | Mexico | 1 - 0 (0:0) | Honduras |
| 10/10/09 | Mexico | 4 - 1 (1:0) | El Salvador |
| 15/10/09 | Trinidad and Tobago | 2 - 2 (1:0) | Mexico |
| Date | Team | Scores | Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/00 | Mexico | 4 - 2 (2:0) | South Africa |
| 08/07/05 | South Africa | 2 - 1 (2:0) | Mexico |
South Africa don't condede or score many goals, they have recently kept four clean sheets in six games and the only games they scored more than two goals in were against Guatemala and Thailand who are hardly World Cup quality, this is a strong indication of unders.
Mexico had few low scoring games in qualifying but that was because they faced some very poor sides, the games that really count are those against USA and Honduras who also qualified for the World Cup. They played six games against those sides and although three games were overs, two of those had just three goals. This indicates both teams can score but neither score many goals.
Pick a player to score the first goal, to score the last goal or to score anytime during the match. Pay close attention to the latest team news before placing your bets on these markets.
Steven Pienaar will be a key player for South Africa, who will be missing Benni McCarthy who was not in the final South Africa squad. Mexico will look to attackers Carlos Vela and Giovani Dos Santos to help score their goals at the World Cup.
Mexico seem to share their goals around, no one scored more than three goals in qualifying so picking a Mexico player to score isn't going to be easy. South Africa probably have the same chance of scoring first and the man to get their goal should be Katlego Mphela, he has an average better than a goal every two games for South Africa.
Back the half time "result" or a combination of the half time and full time results. A great way to increase the odds compared with the standard 90 minute match odds.
Mexico were losing six of their qualifiers at half time and considering they only lost five games overall it means they are much poorer in the first half and this could give South Africa the early initiative. South Africa will be looking to score early to get the home fans on their side.
This game looks likely to be low scoring and close. The odds on a 1-1 draw are looking very generous, and that has to rate the bet of the game, especially if you back it with ZERO RISK!
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