
Paraguay were unexpected group winners for many but we always fancied them as a good team and they have a real opportunity to progress to the quarter finals here having drawn Japan in the second round.
Japan performed wonders to qualify and looked a good team doing so, they will have to hope Paraguay underestimate them which is what Denmark possibly did in their last match.
Match betting is a massively popular market and the first market most punters choose to look at as your decision in this market is likely to impact all other bets you place on the game.
Paraguay have looked one of the most solid teams so far at the World Cup, only Italy have scored past them so far and they even managed to limit the chances that Italy could create. With a bit more luck Paraguay could have won all their games so far and although Japan are expected, Paraguay should have more than enough to take their measure and win this game with a little up their sleeve.
The Asian Handicap is an interesting bet as it usually gives one team a lead that should be enough to cancel out any superiority the favourites for the game have.
Japan have looked quite solid so far but they haven't played against the most attacking teams in qualifying, Paraguay are not the most attacking team either but they should have enough to take care of a -0.25 handicap at good odds.
Take a look at recent results for the two sides to help decide what the best bets are in the over/under betting and also the correct score market.
| Date | Team | Scores | Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/09 | Paraguay | 0 - 2 (0:1) | Chile |
| 10/06/09 | Brazil | 2 - 1 (1:1) | Paraguay |
| 05/09/09 | Paraguay | 1 - 0 (1:0) | Bolivia |
| 09/09/09 | Paraguay | 1 - 0 (1:0) | Argentina |
| 10/10/09 | Venezuela | 1 - 2 (0:0) | Paraguay |
| 14/10/09 | Paraguay | 0 - 2 (0:0) | Colombia |
| Date | Team | Scores | Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/08 | Qatar | 0 - 3 (0:1) | Japan |
| 11/02/09 | Japan | (0:0) | Australia |
| 28/03/09 | Japan | 1 - 0 (0:0) | Bahrain |
| 06/06/09 | Uzbekistan | 0 - 1 (0:1) | Japan |
| 10/06/09 | Japan | 1 - 1 (1:0) | Qatar |
| 17/06/09 | Australia | 2 - 1 (0:1) | Japan |
Paraguay have conceded only one goal so far and Japan have looked ok going forward, but the very well drilled Paraguayans are unlikely to give them as many chances as Denmark gave them. Both teams could be quite negative in this match making under 2.5 goals look a very good bet. To get the correct score we may just have to predict how many goals Paraguay will score, they should certianly get at least one but if they are a bit more attacking they could easily finish with two and odds on a 2-0 win look more than fair.
Some of the most fun markets to bet on are the player markets, such as first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer. They are usually relatively big odds and can give plenty of reward if you pick correctly.
Hopefully for Paraguay the injury prone Roque Santa Cruz will stay fit for this game, he has not been as influential as he could be so far but he remains a big player for them. Japan have looked to Endo and Honda to score and create goals for them so far so they will have to wrap them up in cotton wool for this match to ensure their fitness.
Roque Santa Cruz has so far failed to live up to expectations and although he is expected to be a threat and to keep on improving as he gets fitter, in this match it could be best to ignore him and go for Lucas Barrios to score the first goal, he has looked very sharp so far and rates the main goal threat at the moment for Paraguay.
The latest tips that include the half time result in them, some of the most popular bets here are half time result and half time/full time.
Paraguay went into the half time break in the lead against both Slovakia and Italy and they are rated a good bet to do so against Japan, and also to keep hold of the lead unlike they did against Italy. Japan's heads could drop after they concede a goal and Paraguay will be keen to establish a lead as soon as possible.
The odds on Paraguay beating Japan look to be very good and Paraguay look the sort of team that can keep on improving. Before the tournament they would have been considered a better team than Japan and they still are a better team than Japan so should win this, Japan's qualification seemed to fall into their hands a little and Paraguay are taken to progress after 90 minutes play.