
Both of these teams lost their opening World Cup 2010 fixture so a win here will be highly valuable, if there is a loser then their World Cup is over.
Greece were very poor in their opener and surely can't be that bad again whilst Nigeria showed glimpses of hope against Argentina and probably look the most likely team to take all three points if there is a winner, although yet another close World Cup 2010 match is expected.
Match betting is a massively popular market and the first market most punters choose to look at as your decision in this market is likely to impact all other bets you place on the game.
This looks a tough game to call and that is backed up by the Nigeria v Greece odds. A case could be made for either side winning the match and it seems best to go down the middle with a draw. Greece surely will have learned from their match against South Korea and can't be that bd again, if they are they will be beaten. You can be pretty sure there won't be many goals in what will be a tight game so that increases confidence that it will end up all square.
The Asian Handicap is an interesting bet as it usually gives one team a lead that should be enough to cancel out any superiority the favourites for the game have.
Given that the Asian handicap for this game has the teams at +0.5 and -0.5 and we think the game should be a draw then Greece get the vote in the +0.5 handicap. They look a fair price and as long as they aren't as bad as they were agaisnt South Korea they should be able to get a draw, it is probably just a case of the bookies overreacting to the first game.
Take a look at recent results for the two sides to help decide what the best bets are in the over/under betting and also the correct score market.
| Date | Team | Scores | Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/08 | Mozambique | 0 - 0 (0:0) | Nigeria |
| 07/06/09 | Nigeria | 3 - 0 (1:0) | Kenya |
| 20/06/09 | Tunisia | 0 - 0 (0:0) | Nigeria |
| 06/09/09 | Nigeria | 2 - 2 (1:1) | Tunisia |
| 11/10/09 | Nigeria | 1 - 0 (0:0) | Mozambique |
| 14/11/09 | Kenya | 2 - 3 (1:0) | Nigeria |
| Date | Team | Scores | Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/09 | Switzerland | 2 - 0 (0:0) | Greece |
| 09/09/09 | Moldova | 1 - 1 (0:1) | Greece |
| 10/10/09 | Greece | 5 - 2 (1:2) | Latvia |
| 14/10/09 | Greece | 2 - 1 (2:0) | Luxembourg |
| 14/11/09 | Greece | (0:0) | Ukraine |
| 18/11/09 | Ukraine | 0 - 1 (0:1) | Greece |
Greece won Euro 2004 through winning 1-0 in nearly every match and in qualifying when it really mattered in their playoff against Ukraine they went back to what they know best, over the two legs they won 1-0 on aggregate. Their best chance of winning is through a 1-0 win and the same should apply to Nigeria, who are a solid outfit who don't give too much away, as shown by only conceding one goal against Argentina. This game looks most likely to end up 0-0 or 1-1, slight preference is for 1-1 but either way the game should end up under 2.5 goals.
Some of the most fun markets to bet on are the player markets, such as first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer. They are usually relatively big odds and can give plenty of reward if you pick correctly.
Nigeria have a decent collective team so are not too reliant on any one player but with Greece having a tight defence they will need all the firepower they can get so look for Ikechukwu Uche to be on the team sheet. Greece are heavily reliant on Theofanis Gekas who scored more goals than any other European player in qualifying and would be a big miss for Greece if injured.
Nigeria have a couple of players who might get amongst the goals but their main goal threat could end up being Ikechekwu Iche who has a decent eye for goal. Nigeria may have to come from behind in this match though so it should be worth backing Theofanis Gekas to score the first goal of the game. He scored ten goals in qualifying which made him the most prolific striker in the European qualifying campaign and more than twice as lethal as the next best Greek scorer.
The latest tips that include the half time result in them, some of the most popular bets here are half time result and half time/full time.
This looks as though it will be a tight, low scoring game, and nearly every game has been 0-0 at half time so far. with so much at stake this is likely to be another game that is goalless at half time, and by backing it to be a draw at half time we have the added insurace in case the score was 1-1 or higher when the half time whilstle blows.
Absolutely everything in this game points to a low scoring encounter and it is very difficult to see where three or more goals are going to come from. With that in mind the most confident bet from Nigeria v Greece must be under 2.5 goals, the price is not huge but that doesn't mean it is not value.